I usually look for the ones honestly pointing out the problems, not selling solutions, not that's there's anything inherently wrong with solutions, the lord knows we need them. Its just that there's slightly less chance that they have been compromised by commercial interests.The problem with that is trying to find the expert that is telling the truth
Upton Sinclair — 'It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.'
Returning to the point about electricity being used to refine oil, you have to look at the total value at what that returns, and it's not just petroleum and diesel fuel, it's LPG (butane, propane) aviation fuel, tar for road surfacing, lubricants, short chain carbon compounds for pharmaceuticals etc etc etc. List is very lengthy and worth far more than the electrical energy that goes in to it. Without oil, there is no civilization, at least not the kind you and I imagine when we use that word.
Yes, an unlimited supply of clean energy could theoretically replace some of those with synthetics, but it simply not commercially viable to do so, we've been promised nuclear energy too cheap to meter since the 1930s, but it never materialised, and it likely never will. The renewable infrastructure that we pin our hopes on to power the electrical economy will become increasingly expensive as the massive subsidies from oil and gas wind down, and our ability to replace, repair and maintain them my become increasingly fraught. Most who assume the an electrical economy can power itself hasn't run the numbers. They are, as Nate puts it 'Energy Blind'
Now the electricity that is used to refine those products provides far more value to the economy (and thus props it up) than it would moving one to five 100kg humans around (usually one though) in a 2000kg capsule. Far better to move those humans around on one to five 18kg ebikes, or on trains and buses. Or better yet, get them to self propel on foot or bike and save the energy for what we can't do ourselves. If single occupant accounts for <5% of am EVs weight, 95% of the energy is moving the car itself. This is why I think ebikes technically, EVs will be a very big thing, as the vehicle weighs less than the payload. Ultra light EVs have potential, but still make less sense in energy scarcity scenarios than ebikes.
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