As I said in my big post upthread "At low ABVs, the amount of alcohol scales with the OG and the amount of grain, so eg half the malt will give half the OG and half the alcohol (2.4kg malt -> 1.024 OG -> 2.4% ABV in this example)"
And the amount of alcohol produced from the grain depends on the attenuation of the yeast. That recipe assumes 86% attenuation from US-05 which is on the high side for that yeast, but if you use a lower-attenuating yeast, you'll get less alcohol - as I said upthread :
An attenuation of 74% (a very typical, middling attenuation as it happens) is the magic point where the numbers fall out and 1.048 OG translates to 4.8% ABV. Knowing that, you can scale in proportion depending on the attenuation, so Windsor with 70% attenuation will give you 4.8 * (70/74) = 4.5%, whereas US-05 with an attenuation of 80% will give you 4.8 * (80/74) = 5.2%.