Poll - What is your expectation of surviving Covid-19 should you get infected

[Drunkula]

and as far as I can tell span the age range.

90% of people dying are over 60. I've been following the figures and there's good evidence that about 3% of the population have it. WIth the current figures that would still mean 400,000 deaths, 90% of them being over 60, with 12 million people over 60 in Britain that's about 1 in 25 that die in that age range.

Around 8% of the 400,000 would be in the 40 - 59 range, so 32,000. With a population of 11.5 million in that range that's about 0.3 percent.

This is based on some of the infection rate stats Dr. John Campbell presents combined with the current death figures.

 

[MickDundee]

I think I have had it due to the symptoms matching and a confirmed case in the family which probably would have been passed to my wife pre lockdown.

That said, if I havent had it, a mixture of arrogance and being 34 years old and no underlying conditions means I dont particularly fear it. Read a bit the other day saying some study, possibly American reckons the prevalence of infection might 80 to 100 times what they thought. If true that would mean that your chances of being asymptomatic or not in serious trouble increase greatly.

FWIW everyone is different but I had symptoms for about 8 days, in normal circumstances I would have felt bad enough to be off work 1 maybe 2 of those at a push.

We were the same, think we might have had it but no proof. If we did it was mild.

All 4 of us came down with something on the Monday before lockdown was announced (daughter overnight, the rest of us during the day). I was wiped out for 2 days then started working from home on the Thursday. My wife still wasn’t right on the Friday (temperature over 40) but the doctor wasn’t interested - at 35 years old, not overweight, active and no underlying health conditions she was just told to ride it out. We were all ok by the weekend but various symptoms lingered on for the next week.

 

[soupdragon]

I'm just over 3 weeks post heart valve replacement surgery. When I got moved up to the recovery ward I got my temperature checked and it was "elevated" so was tested for the virus. Following day the doc tells me I'm positive so I get moved to the red zone of the ward. My arse dropped to the floor at that point. Bricking it didn't come close.Turns out it was only a low level infection and if they hadn't told me I wouldn't have known. Go figure......
Anyway, back home now and on the road to recovery from my op. Chest was as sore as hell for a few weeks but is improving day on day.
The only worrying thing for me is that there's no guarantee that once you've had it you're immune

Cheers. Tom

 

[Chippy_Tea]

The only worrying thing for me is that there's no guarantee that once you've had it you're immune

As you say there are no guarantees you are immune so be extra careful with hand hygiene and distancing its not worth the risk of getting it again.

 

[MyQul]

Glad your on the mend soupy

 

[MyQul]

I'm immortal and and I'm never going to die!

There can be only one (mod) - Im coming for you chippy !

 

[MyQul]

Seriously though; Im in my late 40's. I guess Im vaguely fit as I cycle (I say cycle, it's more like maraud the streets of London on my recumbent ) about 100 miles a week. Im within my BMI and I mostly eat a clean vegan whole foods diet. Although I do have cheat days as I've been addicted to sugar my whole life. I also do either intermittent or extended fasting almost every day

Tbh, Im completely convinced Im one of those asymptomatic people as normally I never get sick (I hadn't been to my GP in so long they de-registered me and I had to re-register). Also mostly because of my of my job I've been in loads of different supermarkets and on loads of buses and so far have been fine

 

[Chippy_Tea]

There can only be one (mod) - Im coming for you chippy !

It's a fair ride from London to Cumbria on a recumbent.

 

[MyQul]

It's a fair ride from London to Cumbria on a recumbent.

According to google it's 298 miles - see you in three weeks

 

[VW911]

Mid 50's, drink every day, smoke like a chimney. Also have a weakened immune system due to medication (Sulfasalazine, codeine, allopurinol.), never deliberately exercise.
But, I work hard (mostly manual stuff), care for two allotments, two kids, and three dogs.
Am I worried?...


...Am I chuff!!!

 

[Bernie]

Starsan or peracetate?

 

[MyQul]

Starsan or peracetate?

What terry wants to be preserved in after he pops his clogs from C-19?

 

[Mr_S_Jerusalem]

What terry wants to be preserved in after he pops his clogs from C-19?

Lol like Dr Phibes? Or was that a different chemical?

 

[MyQul]

Lol like Dr Phibes? Or was that a different chemical?

Had to google Dr Phibes. I'd never heard of him (or the film) before. Looks like it's on youtube too. Might have to have a look at that

 

[Mr_S_Jerusalem]

Had to google Dr Phibes. I'd never heard of him (or the film) before. Looks like it's on youtube too. Might have to have a look at that

Oh dude that is a cracking movie. Good old fashioned crappy special effects horror, with the legend that is Vincent Price. And the second one!!

 

[stevey]

I'm pretty sure I'm getting over it now. I'm on the 3rd week, been through all the symptoms, just left with an occasional cough now. SWMBO on the other hand, hasn't shown any symptons at all. After 3 weeks and a week incubation before then, I would have thought she would get it. I can only think she passed it on to me after showing no symptons.

 

[dad_of_jon]

Then keep your head below the trench for the next few months. Come out and say 'What crisis'

unfortunately I have to do the shopping as elders are all housebound, but the first sign of something serious - i'm locking myself in my shed and drinking it dry. 60% alcohol kills covid, I'll have to drink 6 risky businesses... 6 x 10.5% = 60%+

 

[marshbrewer]

49, fit and healthy - can happily run 10k or cycle 60 miles, BMI 20 (only saying this because I've read a few articles suggesting obesity is a major factor), no underlying conditions, so I'm assuming I would be unlucky for it to be a game over situation. Part of me wants to get it and get it over and done with, but then I look at the kids and think I should be careful what I wish for, just in case.

 

[terrym]

49, fit and healthy - can happily run 10k or cycle 60 miles, BMI 20 (only saying this because I've read a few articles suggesting obesity is a major factor), no underlying conditions, so I'm assuming I would be unlucky for it to be a game over situation. Part of me wants to get it and get it over and done with, but then I look at the kids and think I should be careful what I wish for, just in case.

For me its quite simple, age and health are the principal risk determining factors. The older you are the greater the risk of you dying from this virus, and when you get past about 55-60 that risk starts to noticeably increase exponentially, with the other issue 'underlying health issues' affecting some. But as you say there is a tiny unknown which affects everyone, that is 'would I be one of the unlucky ones'.
And I feel sure that Part of me wants to get it and get it over and done with must sum up how many people feel, and the longer it goes on the more people will be inclined that way. There's certainly part of me that thinks that way, but the other part thinks hang on, you are over 70 and have some health issues which tick a few boxes. So its head down for the time being.
But as I said in the OP with a possible 80% infection rate (assuming no vaccine) most of us will get to find out out our destiny one way or another over the coming months, and again PPE, face masks, social distancing and lockdowns or whatever will only perhaps postpone that not prevent it happening.

 

[Drunkula]

Listening to Doctor Karl podcast today and there are a few alleyways being tested that aren't vaccines but would still be amazing if they get into use. One is a fake doorway that the virus would target rather than your own ace2 inhibitors and the guy said it could reduce an infection to around a 5000th of what it would be. You need it early doors before it starts attacking so good testing is important.