31bb3
Landlord.
Think i may be a day or too early for a winner :pray:
Moley said:Well I tried to work this out mathematically. Taking new members per day since member no. 2,000 I got an average of 6 per day, when MD started this on the 4th we were 96 members short of the 3k, 96/6 = 16, 4 + 16 = 20, so that's why I claimed the 20th.
We've obviously been running at slightly over 6 per day since the start of this game, so I think you've got a pretty good chance.
homers brew said:Moley said:Well I tried to work this out mathematically. Taking new members per day since member no. 2,000 I got an average of 6 per day, when MD started this on the 4th we were 96 members short of the 3k, 96/6 = 16, 4 + 16 = 20, so that's why I claimed the 20th.
We've obviously been running at slightly over 6 per day since the start of this game, so I think you've got a pretty good chance.
But now it's getting close you may have to consider the weekly pattern also. I bet there are far more new members towards the end of the week and over the weekend than there is during the early part of the week. So if there are around 42 new members per week, then I would assume that around 32 joined over the Thursday-Sunday period (av = 32/4 = 8/day), leaving around 10 new members for the Monday - Wednesday part of the week, an avarage of 3.3 per day.
Unless everyone of course is browsing on work time, which could mess up my completely made up theory entirely.
graysalchemy said:2997, I now only need 3 new members today :pray: :pray:
AG
You do realise we can check IP addresses to make sure #3000 isn't GA under another aliashomers brew said:I hope the next three actually post something then to confirm they are realgraysalchemy said:2997, I now only need 3 new members today :pray: :pray:
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