Hold the ICE ban will only cover NEW ICE from 2030/2035/20??
That a minimum of 6 years away by then these 2nd gen EVs will over 12 years old and will be higher mileage and selling as used stock. at lower prices not sure how low they will get yet
There Nothing to stop you continuing ICE beyond 2030 as you state you are not talking about used cars, EVs are still a tiny part of the car fleet it will take generations to fully change over.
I fully expect in 3.5 years time to upgrade mine to one of the current modes with faster charging etc, but if a good ICE works out a better deal i may consider it as well, given the HUGE number of ICE already out there I can see a tightening of emissions regs yes and rises in VED bit they can't just say no more ICE simply put EC supply will not be able to meet demand and as you say there is not the money to just replace all ICE this more a make the change if you can ie have a home charger and when you are changing car.
some predict diesels to plummet in value as we reach ICE ban personally if that happens i will scoop one up and run it until it dies if cheap enough.
as stated EVs offer the chance to check battery before you buy will be a great bargaining tool for used if you can prove its battery state.
lets take a 2023 Hyundia Kona EV by 2030 will be 7 years old and started life with 301 mile range lets assume 10% deg so still a 270 mile range car and will still have a warranty on the battery mileage depending (8yrs 100k). No idea what value they will command but they will co,me onto the market as they are ou there lots on lease and PCP tend to get the 0-3 years deal then the 3-8 years PCP deals outside this they are not normally eligible for PCP so value drops again. For used buyer its win win.
Nothing in current plans to FORCE drivers out of ICE the only ones who were forced were the manufacturers and they have demonstrated there is not the demand for the current offerings.
They can't afford and wont but I would love to see the UK Government lean in and partially subsidise UK made EVs and get them affordable and make it a viable option and help rebuild our failing car industry.
Not just the manufacture of EV, but also to have the government sponsor or support battery exchange and refurbishment centres all across the UK, drive the costs down and keep the skills in the UK.